A) Yes - the greater the number of girls a couple has had, the greater the likelihood that the next will be a boy
B) Yes - after having so many daughters, a boy is almost a sure thing
C) No - it is more likely that Mr. and Mrs. Jones will continue to produce girls
D) No - the probability of a son is unaffected by the sex of the previous children
Correct Answer
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Multiple Choice
A) dumb and dumber strategies.
B) fast and frugal strategies.
C) intuitive strategies.
D) rule-governed strategies.
Correct Answer
verified
Multiple Choice
A) not applying base rates to himself.
B) applying base rates to himself.
C) not applying the conjunction fallacy.
D) applying the conjunction fallacy.
Correct Answer
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Multiple Choice
A) the way in which the alternatives in a decision problem are presented.
B) structuring decision problems in a manner that will lead to poor decisions.
C) presenting only part of the information required to make a decision.
D) presenting information that has no direct bearing on the decision problem at hand.
Correct Answer
verified
Multiple Choice
A) availability heuristic
B) representativeness heuristic
C) conjunction heuristic
D) gambler's heuristic
Correct Answer
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True/False
Correct Answer
verified
Multiple Choice
A) a confirmation bias.
B) the conjunction fallacy.
C) the base-rate fallacy.
D) the overconfidence effect.
Correct Answer
verified
Short Answer
Correct Answer
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True/False
Correct Answer
verified
Multiple Choice
A) use conscious, careful deliberation.
B) focus on the way the decision is framed.
C) make an unconscious, intuitive decision.
D) delay the decision for as long as possible.
Correct Answer
verified
Multiple Choice
A) an elimination by aspects approach.
B) an additive approach.
C) a means/end analysis.
D) a subjective-utility model.
Correct Answer
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Multiple Choice
A) fail to consider
B) underestimate
C) accurately assess
D) overestimate
Correct Answer
verified
Multiple Choice
A) overestimating the improbable.
B) the conjunction fallacy.
C) the gambler's fallacy.
D) the confirmation bias.
Correct Answer
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Essay
Correct Answer
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View Answer
Multiple Choice
A) less likely
B) more likely
C) equally likely
D) less likely if female but more likely if male
Correct Answer
verified
Short Answer
Correct Answer
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Multiple Choice
A) they are not asked to provide rationales for their choices.
B) seeking to cut their losses.
C) the issue is framed in terms of probability of success.
D) the probability of success is equal to the probability of failure.
Correct Answer
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Essay
Correct Answer
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View Answer
Multiple Choice
A) generative
B) symbolic
C) structured
D) alphabetical
Correct Answer
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Multiple Choice
A) how long it has been since the event last occurred.
B) how similar it is to the prototype of that event.
C) whether the event occurs in combination with another event.
D) the ease with which relevant instances of the event come to mind.
Correct Answer
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