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The four most fundamental factors that affect the cost of money are (1) production opportunities, (2) time preferences for consumption, (3) risk, and (4) inflation.

A) True
B) False

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Assuming the pure expectations theory is correct, which of the following statements is CORRECT?


A) If 2-year Treasury bond rates exceed 1-year rates, then the market must expect interest rates to rise.
B) If both 2-year and 3-year Treasury rates are 7%, then 5-year rates must also be 7%.
C) If 1-year rates are 6% and 2-year rates are 7%, then the market expects 1-year rates to be 6.5% in one year.
D) Reinvestment rate risk is higher on long-term bonds, and interest rate (price) risk is higher on short-term bonds.
E) Interest rate (price) risk and reinvestment rate risk are relevant to investors in corporate bonds, but these concepts do not apply to Treasury bonds.

F) A) and D)
G) A) and E)

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Assume that inflation is expected to decline steadily in the future, but that the real risk-free rate, r*, will remain constant. Which of the following statements is CORRECT, other things held constant?


A) If the pure expectations theory holds, the Treasury yield curve must be downward sloping.
B) If the pure expectations theory holds, the corporate yield curve must be downward sloping.
C) If there is a positive maturity risk premium, the Treasury yield curve must be upward sloping.
D) If inflation is expected to decline, there can be no maturity risk premium.
E) The expectations theory cannot hold if inflation is decreasing.

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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Suppose the yield on a 10-year T-bond is currently 5.05% and that on a 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Security (TIPS) is 2.15%. Suppose further that the MRP on a 10-year T-bond is 0.90%, that no MRP is required on a TIPS, and that no liquidity premium is required on any T bond. Given this information, what is the expected rate of inflation over the next 10 years? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.


A) 1.81%
B) 1.90%
C) 2.00%
D) 2.10%
E) 2.21%

F) A) and D)
G) B) and C)

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If investors expect the rate of inflation to increase sharply in the future, then we should not be surprised to see an upward-sloping yield curve.

A) True
B) False

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?


A) The yield on a 3-year Treasury bond cannot exceed the yield on a 10 year Treasury bond.
B) The yield on a 2-year corporate bond should always exceed the yield on a 2-year Treasury bond.
C) The yield on a 3-year corporate bond should always exceed the yield on a 2-year corporate bond.
D) The yield on a 10-year AAA-rated corporate bond should always exceed the yield on a 5-year AAA-rated corporate bond.
E) The following represents a "possibly reasonable" formula for the maturity risk premium on bonds: MRP = -0.1%(t) , where t is the years to maturity.

F) B) and D)
G) C) and E)

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Assume that the rate on a 1-year bond is now 6%, but all investors expect 1-year rates to be 7% one year from now and then to rise to 8% two years from now. Assume also that the pure expectations theory holds, hence the maturity risk premium equals zero. Which of the following statements is CORRECT?


A) The yield curve should be downward sloping, with the rate on a 1-year bond at 6%.
B) The interest rate today on a 2-year bond should be approximately 6%.
C) The interest rate today on a 2-year bond should be approximately 7%.
D) The interest rate today on a 3-year bond should be approximately 7%.
E) The interest rate today on a 3-year bond should be approximately 8%.

F) None of the above
G) C) and D)

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The real risk-free rate is 3.05%, inflation is expected to be 2.75% this year, and the maturity risk premium is zero. Ignoring any cross-product terms, what is the equilibrium rate of return on a 1-year Treasury bond?


A) 5.51%
B) 5.80%
C) 6.09%
D) 6.39%
E) 6.71%

F) D) and E)
G) A) and D)

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?


A) If inflation is expected to increase in the future, and if the maturity risk premium (MRP) is greater than zero, then the Treasury yield curve will have an upward slope.
B) If the maturity risk premium (MRP) is greater than zero, then the yield curve must have an upward slope.
C) Because long-term bonds are riskier than short-term bonds, yields on long-term Treasury bonds will always be higher than yields on short-term T-bonds.
D) If the maturity risk premium (MRP) equals zero, the yield curve must be flat.
E) The yield curve can never be downward sloping.

F) C) and D)
G) A) and C)

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The risk that interest rates will decline, and that decline will lead to a decline in the income provided by a bond portfolio as interest and maturity payments are reinvested, is called "reinvestment rate risk."

A) True
B) False

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Suppose the real risk-free rate is 2.50% and the future rate of inflation is expected to be constant at 4.10%. What rate of return would you expect on a 5-year Treasury security, assuming the pure expectations theory is valid? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.


A) 5.38%
B) 5.66%
C) 5.96%
D) 6.27%
E) 6.60%

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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Suppose 1-year T-bills currently yield 7.00% and the future inflation rate is expected to be constant at 3.20% per year. What is the real risk-free rate of return, r*? The cross-product term should be considered , i.e., if averaging is required, use the geometric average.


A) 3.68%
B) 3.87%
C) 4.06%
D) 4.26%
E) 4.48%

F) B) and D)
G) B) and E)

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The Federal Reserve tends to take actions to increase interest rates when the economy is very strong and to decrease rates when the economy is weak.

A) True
B) False

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Kelly Inc's 5-year bonds yield 7.50% and 5-year T-bonds yield 4.90%. The real risk-free rate is r* = 2.5%, the default risk premium for Kelly's bonds is DRP = 0.40%, the liquidity premium on Kelly's bonds is LP = 2.2% versus zero on T-bonds, and the inflation premium (IP) is 1.5%. What is the maturity risk premium (MRP) on all 5-year bonds?


A) 0.73%
B) 0.81%
C) 0.90%
D) 0.99%
E) 1.09%

F) B) and C)
G) A) and E)

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If investors expect a zero rate of inflation, then the nominal rate of return on a very short-term U.S. Treasury bond should be equal to the real risk-free rate, r*.

A) True
B) False

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?


A) Even if the pure expectations theory is correct, there might at times be an inverted Treasury yield curve.
B) If the yield curve is inverted, short-term bonds have lower yields than long-term bonds.
C) The higher the maturity risk premium, the higher the probability that the yield curve will be inverted.
D) Inverted yield curves can exist for Treasury bonds, but because of default premiums, the corporate yield curve cannot become inverted.
E) The most likely explanation for an inverted yield curve is that investors expect inflation to increase in the future.

F) A) and E)
G) None of the above

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Suppose the interest rate on a 1-year T-bond is 5.0% and that on a 2 year T-bond is 7.0%. Assuming the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the market's forecast for 1-year rates 1 year from now?


A) 7.36%
B) 7.75%
C) 8.16%
D) 8.59%
E) 9.04%

F) A) and C)
G) A) and B)

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An upward-sloping yield curve is often call a "normal" yield curve, while a downward-sloping yield curve is called "abnormal."

A) True
B) False

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Assume that the current corporate bond yield curve is upward sloping. Under this condition, then we could be sure that


A) Inflation is expected to decline in the future.
B) The economy is not in a recession.
C) Long-term bonds are a better buy than short-term bonds.
D) Maturity risk premiums could help to explain the yield curve's upward slope.
E) Long-term interest rates are more volatile than short-term rates.

F) A) and D)
G) D) and E)

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Koy Corporation's 5-year bonds yield 7.00%, and 5-year T-bonds yield 5.15%. The real risk-free rate is r* = 3.0%, the inflation premium for 5-year bonds is IP = 1.75%, the liquidity premium for Koy's bonds is LP = 0.75% versus zero for T-bonds, and the maturity risk premium for all bonds is found with the formula MRP = (t - 1) × 0.1%, where t = number of years to maturity. What is the default risk premium (DRP) on Koy's bonds?


A) 5.94%
B) 6.60%
C) 7.26%
D) 7.99%
E) 8.78%

F) B) and C)
G) A) and E)

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